Trade Agreement Negotiations between EU and US Remain Challenging due to Tariff Disputes, with the Deadline Set for July 9.
Fresh Take:
EU and US Are Ready for a U-Turn on Contentious Trade Deal
Brussels, Belgium - Europe's top gun, Ursula von der Leyen, has made it clear that the EU's objective remains a "solid" trade agreement with the USA before the July 9th deadline. The European commission head confirmed this in a phone conversation with President Donald Trump, sharing the news on her social media platform.
Tensions flared up shortly after Trump announced a hefty 50% import tariff increase, starting this month, on steel, aluminum, and sparking concerns throughout the European manufacturing region. This move, as reported by Xinhua, could have disastrous effects on the European sector due to its high dependency on these raw materials.
The European Commissioner for Trade and Economic Security, Maros Sefcovic, mirrored concerns in late May, after Trump insinuated talks were " heading nowhere" and threatened to follow through with the 50% import tariffs from June 1st. However, after a phone call from von der Leyen, Trump agreed to delay the tariff hike until July 9th, giving both parties more time to hash out a solution.
The conversation between von der Leyen and Trump also touched upon pertinent matters in the Middle East and Ukraine as reported by US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.
Lutnick hinted that the EU is likely to be one of the last on the US's list to negotiate and seal a trade deal, given the administration's current time-sensitive approach in securing tariff agreements with other trade partners. Lutnick elaborated on June 11th that dialogues with the EU took a turn for the better after Trump's initial threat but follow slower than anticipated.
Despite this slowdown, the EU has been in constant contact with Commerce Secretary Lutnick and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, as they fast-track negotiations in the remaining two-week window. Interestingly, the EU believes talks with the US could extend beyond the given deadline and may strike a deal on the fundamentals of an agreement by that date, allowing for further time to iron out minor details.
In the midst of these complications, Trump administration officials have showcased their frustration with the EU, citing the diverse priests and priorities of the 27-member bloc as an issue in the negotiation process.
The US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, shone the light on this complication in a May interview with Bloomberg Television, singling out the EU as an "exception" and accusing the bloc of experiencing a "collective action problem". He went on to disclose that most countries engaging in trade negotiations are doing so with good faith, save for the EU.
Insights:
- The current standoff between the US and EU hinges on hefty tariffs on steel, aluminum, and potential wider import duties.
- Trump's tariff hike threats for EU products were initially set for June 1st before being delayed until July 9th.
- The EU has initiated public consultations regarding proposed countermeasures, which include import duties on US products such as aircraft, automobiles, medical devices, IT equipment, and industrial machinery.
- Despite the 90-day truce semblance, progress on negotiations has been minimal.
- The EU is actively seeking a trade agreement to avoid the proposed tariffs while the US continues to wield tariff threats as bargaining chips.
Table:
| Aspect | US Position/Actions | EU Position/Actions ||----------------------|-----------------------------|------------------------------|| Tariff Deadline | July 9, 202x (Extended from June 1, 202x) | Seeks deal before deadline || Current Tariffs | 25% on steel, aluminum, cars; 10% on other EU products | Considers countermeasures || Trade Deficit Claim | $178B goods deficit; blames EU policies | $54.2B overall deficit; trade is balanced || Negotiation Status | Stalled, occasional threats | Active, seeks to avoid further escalation|
Outlook:
With July 9th looming on the horizon, both parties are under intense pressure to broker a deal that will evade resurging trade barriers. Discussions are ongoing, and concessions are imminent as both parties strive to avoid further escalation, potentially causing significant disruptions to global trade and supply chains.
- The impending July 9th deadline presents a significant challenge for both the EU and US, as they aim to negotiate a trade agreement that avoids the re-establishment of trade barriers in the industry, finance, and business sectors, while also addressing political concerns in the general-news domain.
- With negotiations still ongoing, it is expected that both parties will make substantial concessions in various areas such as tariffs on steel, aluminum, cars, and countermeasures on US products like aircraft, automobiles, medical devices, IT equipment, and industrial machinery, in an effort to strike a mutually beneficial deal.