Soaring versus sinking: Predicting optimal fuel prices
According to a note published on the Portuguese Automobile Club's (ACP) website, the fuel price predictions for the week from August 4 to 10, 2025, have been announced. The predictions are based on the assumption that extraordinary fiscal reduction measures will be maintained by the government.
If the predictions hold true, the average price of diesel will decrease by 0.5 cents per liter, with the expected average price being €1.585 per liter on August 10. This is lower than the current price of €1.59 per liter as of August 1.
However, the average price of gasoline is predicted to rise by 2.5 cents per liter, with the expected average price being €1.703 per liter on August 10. This is higher than the current price of €1.678 per liter as of August 1.
The predictions do not specify the exact prices for each day of the week from August 4 to 10. Moreover, they do not account for potential fluctuations due to unforeseen circumstances. It is also important to note that these predictions do not include the prices for other types of fuels, other regions, or countries.
As of now, the week of August 4 to 10, 2025, has not occurred, so it is not possible to verify if these predicted changes actually took place. However, earlier forecasts anticipated a rise in prices at the start of the following weeks, with petrol increasing by 2 cents and diesel by 3.5 cents, assuming continued tax reductions. Later in late July, the forecast was revised downward to predict a small decrease instead.
The exact evolution of fuel prices during the week of August 4 to 10, 2025, will be clear after August 10. Until then, these predictions serve as a guide for consumers and businesses alike.
The updated fuel price predictions suggest a decrease in the average price of diesel in the 'energy' industry, possibly benefiting consumers, while the 'finance' sector might observe an increase in gasoline prices in the same week. However, these predictions do not account for the prices of other types of fuels or regions.
