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Investment in Romania from foreign sources decreases by half year-on-year in January

Foreign direct investments (FDI) from external sources to Romania dropped by 53% year-on-year to €538 million in January, culminating in a total of €5.1 billion (-28% y/y) for the 12-month period ending in January, as per central bank BNR data. Roughly, only a small fraction of the FDI received...

Foreign direct investments (FDI) into Romania plummeted by 53% year-over-year to €538 million in...
Foreign direct investments (FDI) into Romania plummeted by 53% year-over-year to €538 million in January, resulting in a 12-month total of €5.1 billion, down 28% compared to the previous year, as per data disclosed by the central bank BNR. Of the investments made in the 12 months leading up to January, a significant portion...

Investment in Romania from foreign sources decreases by half year-on-year in January

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Romania's Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) took a hefty nose-dive by 53% year-on-year, dropping to EUR 538 million in January, as per data from the central bank BNR. Over the past 12 months, FDI shrank by a considerable 28%, amounting to EUR 5.1 billion.

In the 12 months leading up to January, fresh equity equated to only EUR 349, with the majority of investments coming from reinvested earnings (EUR 4.0 billion) and loans to FDI companies from parent groups (EUR 753 million).

The current FDI stock in Romania (EUR 125 billion) is dishing out substantial dividends and interest for foreign investors, a chunk of which is finding its way back as reinvested earnings. In the 12 months to January, the interest and dividends generated for foreign investors amounted to EUR 11.7 billion (approximately 3.3% of the country's GDP), with about a third (EUR 4 billion) re-invested. The reinvestment ratio plummeted from 42% in 2023 and 50% in 2022.

Despite inward FDI accounting for merely 1.4% of the country's GDP over the past 12 months, it falls short of covering the 8.3%-of-GDP current account deficit. This situation is unlikely to improve much in the coming future.

(Photo courtesy of Ruletkka/Dreamstime.com)

So here's the skinny: The steep decline in FDI isn't strictly a 53% drop, with recent reports pointing to a 29% year-on-year decrease in net FDI to EUR 4.87 billion over 12 months to March 2025. The first quarter alone saw an over 30% contraction compared to the same period in 2024.

Why the slide then? Romania grapples with economic challenges such as a widening trade deficit and slow GDP growth, which can deter foreign investment. Global economic conditions like trade tensions and shifts in competitiveness within Europe may also influence investment decisions. Moreover, analysts underscore the importance of stability and reduced bureaucracy to reel in foreign investment.

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Bottom line: Romania's FDI is on a downward spiral, but there's still plenty of room for improvement and attractive investment opportunities. Stay tuned!

In the face of economic challenges such as a widening trade deficit and slow GDP growth, the finance sector may find it intimidating to invest in Romania's industry. Despite the recent drop in Foreign Direct Investment, the country's FDI stock still offers substantial returns for foreign investors, providing numerous opportunities for finance to re-enter the industry.

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